Introduction
As you already know, The Lead Generator provides the best quality sales leads available,
but that's not all there is to successful selling. This ezine is designed to provide
you with additional practical methods to you be more successful in sales.
Funnel Management
Prioritizing your work is the key to effective time management, but the question
is, How do you do it? Do you come in in the morning, open up your contact manager
and ask yourself, let's see what I have to do today? Or do you have a method for
prioritizing your work that will make you, and your company, the most money in the
shortest amount of time?
We have found that a simple spreadsheet is the easiest way to make sure that you're
"doing the right things," not just "doing them right."
The theory behind our Funnel Management spreadsheet is the concept of the Expected
Value of a prospect. The Expected Value is a function of "what a sale would
be worth" if it pans out, and the "probability of success" of that
sale. Thus, if a sale to Prospect #1 is worth $500 if it closes, but the probability
of it closing is only 50%, then its Expected Value to you is $250, not $500.
This becomes important because, if you have an opportunity with another prospect,
you can compare them and decide objectively on which one you ought to be working.
So, for example, if Prospect #2 represents a potential sale of $400, but has a probability
of closing of 75%, its Expected Value is higher, at $300, than the $250 value of
Prospect #1. All other things being equal, Prospect #2 is the one you should be
working on.
This is summarized in the spreadsheet below:
| #1 |
$500 |
50% |
$250 |
Even though this has the higher potential |
| #2 |
$400 |
75% |
$300 |
This is the one to work on |
This gets you a long way towards effective time management, and the model can handle
a lot of prospects and activities. But it's very rarely the case the "all other
things are equal," so we need to add another factor.
The next most important factor to consider is time. That is, when will something
close? When something closes, with "sooner" usually being better than
"later," is important because we never want to have too much quota left
over at the end of the month. Anyone can make quota, given unlimited time; but we
don't have unlimited time, so we have to account for it.
The Funnel Management approach differentiates opportunities on the basis of when
they are going to close, as well as what they are worth. Borrowing a technique from
Strategic Selling, we differentiate between Suspects, "C" prospects, "B"
prospects and "A" prospects on the basis of which are "closest to
closing" versus those which are "farthest from closing." An "A"
prospect is closest to closing, and a "C" prospect is farthest from closing,
with "B"prospects somewhere in the middle. And a Suspect is someone whom
we haven't qualified yet, so we don't know how close they are to closing. (Almost
every prospect starts out as a Suspect on our funnel.)
In practice, the question of "closeness to closing" requires us to think
of more than just time. We also have to consider the work we have to do in order
to move the prospect forward in the sell cycle. (Work, of course, takes time, so
you can see the connection.) In funnel management, our units of time aren't just
hours, days, weeks or months; we have to include "effort."
| #1 |
$1,000 |
90% |
$900 |
Oct. 1, 2000 |
Schedule 1 person |
This is the "A" Prospect |
| #2 |
$1,000 |
90% |
$900 |
Dec. 1, 2000 |
Schedule 10 people |
This is the "B" Prospect |
Think about two new examples, each one is a $1,000 opportunity with a 90% chance
of closing (i.e. EV=$900,) based on what you know today. In the first case, all
you have to do is schedule one User to attend a training class, and the sale is
done if he likes what he sees. In the other case, also worth $1,000 and with a 90%
probability, you have to schedule 10 Users for the class, and again, only the one
guy has to like it. Obviously, the first case requires less work than the second.
In fact, it may take you into the next month to get the second one scheduled, no
less get it closed.
Even though the probability and value of the sales are the same, they don't mean
the same thing to you. The second one will take more work, and it may even get "screwed
up" in the process. In fact, that 90% probability on Prospect #2 might even
go down if we can't get everyone scheduled.
That's why we might call the first case an "A" prospect, because getting
one person into the class is a "no brainer;" while we might call the second
one a "B" prospect.
It's these type of factors, mostly time and effort, that force us to categorize
prospects as "A", "B" or "C;" and at any point in
time, we should always be able to say who are our "A" prospects, who are
our "B" prospects, and who are our "C" prospects.
An important side-note to this discussion is that this concept contradicts what
a lot of sales managers and business owners think. Many people to whom we're answerable
believe that your largest prospects are your "A" prospects - but it is
very wrong to think of them that way. Your "A" prospects are where your
near-term revenue is coming from, and that may not include the giant prospect in
your funnel who may never close. You may choose to work on the giant prospect, but
you should do so only because you can justify it.
This also has the benefit of focusing us on what we have to do to move the sale
along. That is, as you set up your funnel to reflect "closeness to closing,"
you identify what you have to do to move someone from being a "suspect"
to a "C" prospect, from a "C" prospect to a "B" prospect,
from a "B" prospect to an "A" prospect, or from an "A"
prospect to a customer.
This enhancement to the model is shown below:
| Suspects |
#1 |
$500 |
? |
? |
? |
Intro mtg |
|
#2 |
$300 |
? |
? |
12/1/01 |
Get on bid list |
| "C" Prospects |
#3 |
$10,000 |
5% |
$500 |
3/1/01 |
Offer seminar |
|
#4 |
$200 |
70% |
$140 |
1/1/01 |
Cover bases |
| "B" Prospects |
#5 |
$300 |
33% |
$100 |
11/1/00 |
Demo |
|
#6 |
$400 |
80% |
$320 |
11/15/00 |
Convince VP |
| "A" Prospects |
#7 |
$100 |
90% |
$90 |
10/15/00 |
Pick up contr. |
|
#8 |
$600 |
50% |
$300 |
10/1/00 |
Wait for decision |
| Total |
|
$12,400 |
|
$1,450 |
|
|
A very important thing to note is that it is not necessarily the case that an "A"
has a higher probability of closing than a "B" or "C" prospect.
In fact, it could easily be lower if you know you're going to lose this week! Think
of the case where you're in a competitive bid situation with a 50/50 chance of success.
There is nothing more you can do, and the decision will be made tomorrow. It's certainly
an "A" prospect - but one with a low probability of success.
A second thing to note is that this approach lets you actually plan your work around
what will get you the greatest return on your investment of time, money and effort.
By showing your "To Do" (or next steps,) on the same form as the Expected
Value, you can easily determine whether you ought to work on moving that "B"
into "A-ville," or on cold-calling for a few more "C" prospects,
or on closing some "A" prospects. (Of course, if you need to show more than
just the next steps to keep the work in context, or you need to manage your sales
expense, go ahead and add them to the sheet.)
Another important feature of this example to note is the total line. As you can
see, there are two totals. The total Potential reflects what the territory would
be worth if everything closed, while the total Expected Value shows a more realistic
measure of the value of the territory today. Unfortunately, too many salespeople
count their chickens (i.e. the potential,) before they hatch (i.e. the Expected
Value.) By the way, the ratio of the EV to the Potential (e.g. $1,450 / $12,400
= 12%,) is a good measure of the relative risk in the territory.
A final enhancement you can make to this method is to add a forecast module to it,
something which management generally loves to see. This can be done very simply
in your spreadsheet by spreading the "EV dollars" into columns (one per
month,) to the right, as shown below, based on the expected close date. You can
also tweak it by accounting for a collection lag by moving the revenue out a month,
and/or by spreading or repeating the revenues for project or ongoing revenue streams.
We even know reps who use this to calculate their commission income.
| Suspects |
#1 |
$500 |
? |
? |
? |
Intro mtg |
|
|
|
|
|
|
#2 |
$300 |
? |
? |
12/1/01 |
Get on bid list |
|
|
|
|
|
| "C" Prospects |
#3 |
$10,000 |
5% |
$500 |
2/1/01 |
Offer seminar |
|
|
|
|
$500 |
|
#4 |
$200 |
70% |
$140 |
1/1/01 |
Cover bases |
|
|
|
$140 |
|
| "B" Prospects |
#5 |
$300 |
33% |
$100 |
11/1/00 |
Demo |
|
$100 |
|
|
|
|
#6 |
$400 |
80% |
$320 |
11/15/00 |
Convince VP |
|
$320 |
|
|
|
| "A" Prospects |
#7 |
$100 |
90% |
$90 |
10/15/00 |
Pick up contr. |
$90 |
|
|
|
|
|
#8 |
$600 |
50% |
$300 |
10/1/00 |
Wait for decision |
$300 |
|
|
|
|
| Total |
|
$12,400 |
|
$1,450 |
|
|
$390 |
$420 |
$0 |
$140 |
$500 |
That's about all there is to it. Funnel Management can save you time, and you make
a lot more money. And all it takes is a simple spreadsheet.
For more information on Funnel Management, or any techniques to increase your sales,
contact JV/M on the Web. For
more information on cold calling, click here.
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